Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 97.1%
Tahminciler
28
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
14 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis13 Haz 24 07:43 UTC31 Ara 31 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsNext UK prime minister tenure? (After Keir Starmer)
Manifold MarketsAndy Burnham out as UK's Prime Minister by which date?
FutuurHow many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
PolymarketNext leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)
PolymarketKurallar
Resolves YES if Keir Starmer is UK Prime Minister on 31 December 2031.
- (Note that if there is a general election in the summer of 2029, then the end of 2031 will be 2.5 years into that parliament.
- However, Starmer doesn't have to be PM for all that period to resolve YES, merely be PM on 31 Dec 2031).
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39,1 Mn
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.8pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.2pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt14.1%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,3 Mr
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2031? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 97% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2031? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2031? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2031.
- Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2031? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves YES if Keir Starmer is UK Prime Minister on 31 December 2031.