Will Jonathan Ray's market on the causes of the increase of life expectancy resolve as intended?
One-OffSağlık ve TıpManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 62.7%
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5
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
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3 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis18 Mar 25 16:26 UTC1 Oca 60 22:59 UTC
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This market resolves yes if the following market fits all the following criteria:
- resolves within a reasonable time after 2050 (and not before!)
- the total probabilities add up to 100%
- This market resolves no if any of the criteria above aren't fulfilled or clearly won't be able to be fulfilled.
- (This includes if Manifold stops existing)
- https://manifold.markets/JonathanRay/how-will-scientific-consensus-in-20
