Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 72.9%
Tahminciler
5
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
3 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis1 Ağu 26 16:23 UTC16 Oca 30 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump or Biden Live longer?
Manifold MarketsWill Clavicular live longer than Zyzz did?
Manifold MarketsWill it be reported that Joe Biden used Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate?
Kalshi2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiLos Angeles Mayor winner?
KalshiKurallar
If Biden’s lifespan ultimately exceeds Trump’s
- (Identical market to: source market)
Açık piyasalar
Politics
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+15.0pt86.1%
- Yes-15.0pt13.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺859,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺64,2 Mn
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.4pt19%
- Jon Ossoff+1.1pt17%
- Gavin Newsom+0.5pt13%
+48 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt12%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺36,9 Mn
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass62.4%
- Nithya Raman+3.0pt37.6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,5 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺34,6 Mn
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.3pt4%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-2.0pt76.2%
- New People (NL)+2.6pt19.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.1pt3%
- Brazil Presidential Election
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Next French Presidential Election
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Texas Senate winner?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 15 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 73% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 16 Ocak 2030.
- Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If Biden’s lifespan ultimately exceeds Trump’s