Manifold MarketsKapalıKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: No (93.4%)
Sonuçlandı: 1 Eki 2026 05:34
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Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
31 Ağu 2026 21:40 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Yes6.6%
No93.4%
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Resolves YES if Jinbaobao's trailing twelve months (TTM) tin production is reported below 40,000 tonnes in their official production disclosures or industry reports as of August 31, 2026.
- Data sources include Jinbaobao's company reports, Chinese mining authorities, or verified industry publications.
- Given Jinbaobao's recent export ban impacting roughly 12% of global tin supply, this threshold near 40 kt reflects a critical level influencing global tin availability and pricing.
- Production figures must exclude downstream refining or recycling volumes and focus solely on mined tin output attributed to Jinbaobao.
- Jinbaobao's sudden tin export ban, covering 12% of global supply, significantly tightens the market, influencing pricing and availability.
- Source: Article
