Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 72.7%
Tahminciler
5
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
15 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis1 Haz 23 02:32 UTC1 Oca 30 08:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will there be a global pause on the largest AI training runs at any point before AGI?
Manifold MarketsWill an international pause on large AI training runs be in effect on Jan 1, 2028?
Manifold Markets1GW AI training run before 2027?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
See https://technomancers.ai/japan-goes-all-in-copyright-doesnt-apply-to-ai-training/ (which cites a Japanese-langauge source https://go2senkyo.com/seijika/122181/posts/685617 that I can't read).
- According to this, Japan won't enforce copyright protections on data used to train AI models.
- Will this change within the decade?
- Resolves YES if either:
- (1) Both of these:
- (a) A rights holder uses Japanese copyright law to prevent an AI model from being trained, used, or distributed
Açık piyasalar
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+9.0pt56.9%
- 2027+3.5pt33%
- 2026+4.0pt10.1%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺12,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺9 Mn
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-5.0pt69%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max-3.0pt3%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.5pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-0.5pt84%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+2.1pt59.6%
- ChatGPT-0.4pt25%
- Grok+0.6pt7.7%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺512,2 Mn
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-5.5pt66%
- 1490+-5.0pt56%
- 1500+-0.5pt28%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
- Most popular AI this week
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Japan prevent AI training on copyrighted data before 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 73% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Japan prevent AI training on copyrighted data before 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Japan prevent AI training on copyrighted data before 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2030.
- Will Japan prevent AI training on copyrighted data before 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: See https://technomancers.ai/japan-goes-all-in-copyright-doesnt-apply-to-ai-training/ (which cites a Japanese-langauge source https://go2senkyo.com/seijika/122181/posts/685617 that I can't read).