Manifold MarketsKapalıKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: No (69.2%)
Sonuçlandı: 19 Eki 2026 16:43
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
16 Eki 2026 20:50 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Kurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the ambient air temperature recorded at the official National Weather Service observation station in Spokane, Washington (Spokane International Airport, KGEG) reaches 32.0°F (0.0°C) or lower at any time before October 16, 2026 (11:59:59 PM PDT on October 15, 2026).
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Resolution will be verified using official weather observations and Daily/Monthly Climate Reports (CLI/CF6) published by NOAA's National Weather Service Office in Spokane, WA (NWS Spokane Climate Data).
- Based on NOAA 1991–2020 climate normals, the median date for the first fall freeze (32°F) in Spokane, WA is early October (typically between October 3 and October 7 depending on the exact location within the valley and airport plateau).
- Historical observations recorded at Spokane International Airport show that sub-freezing temperatures before mid-October occur in a majority of years, though warm autumnal atmospheric patterns can occasionally delay the first freeze into late October.
