Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 56%
Tahminciler
15
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
8 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis2 Nis 25 23:23 UTC31 Ara 39 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Switzerland become a member of the EU before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Norway become a member of the EU before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada become a member of the EU before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Iceland has become a member of the European Union before January 1st 2040.
- This also applies if a main successor to Iceland joins a main successor to the EU before that date. “Strong evidence” may include formal accession treaties, official announcements by relevant governing bodies, or other clear confirmation that membership has been granted.
- If there is no such membership or evidence thereof by January 1st 2040, the market will resolve as NO.
Açık piyasalar
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺32,8 Mn
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺46,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺6,1 Mn
POLYMARKETMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- AfD+2.0pt79.2%
- SPD-2.0pt20.8%
- CDU0%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+1.0pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-2.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.8pt1%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Berlin State Election Winner
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Vote Share?
- AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Vote Share?
- Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Iceland become a member of the EU before 2040? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 56% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Iceland become a member of the EU before 2040? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Iceland become a member of the EU before 2040? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2039.
- Will Iceland become a member of the EU before 2040? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Iceland has become a member of the European Union before January 1st 2040.