Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 82.6%
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5
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binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
13 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis11 Şub 26 01:47 UTC1 Haz 28 00:39 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will I drop out of my PhD program?
Manifold MarketsWhat year will I finish my PhD?
Manifold MarketsWill California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
KalshiIf I offer someone on a plane $20 to take off their mask for the remainder of the flight, will they accept?
Manifold MarketsNew River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
KalshiMaine lobster landings in 2026
KalshiKurallar
I’m currently a PhD student in philosophy at Harvard, in my second-to-third-last year.
- This means I’ll be on the job market next year or the next, trying to become a professor.
- Market resolved YES provided that I get a job offer for a tenure-track position by the end of the job market season in 2028.
- The resolution date is in May of 2028, but I will keep the market open if for some reason things are unclear by that point.
- The market will resolve YES even if I do not accept the offer.
- A postdoc will not be sufficient for YES.
Açık piyasalar
Society & CultureKALSHINew River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
- Above 1.8 million96%
- Above 1.7 million96%
- Above 1.9 million89%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺331,2 B
KALSHIMaine lobster landings in 2026
- Above 55 million pounds94%
- Above 70 million pounds66%
- Above 75 million pounds44%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺534,6 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺147,5 B
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No-4.0pt77%
- Yes+4.0pt23%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺37,3 B
POLYMARKETIs Earth flat?
- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺32 B
FORECASTEXWill University of Michigan rank first for public universities in 2027?
- No94%
- Yes6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺29,2 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺29,2 B
FORECASTEXWill Harvard tuition exceed $61,000 in 2026?
- Yes98%
- No2%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺29,2 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺29,2 B
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?
- MrBeast: 1 Billion subscribers
- Hermès Kelly: Highest auction sale price this year
- What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
- Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will I get a tenure-track job offer straight out of my PhD? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 17 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 83% fiyatlıyor.
- Will I get a tenure-track job offer straight out of my PhD? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will I get a tenure-track job offer straight out of my PhD? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Haziran 2028.
- Will I get a tenure-track job offer straight out of my PhD? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: I’m currently a PhD student in philosophy at Harvard, in my second-to-third-last year.