Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 87.9%
Tahminciler
4
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
20 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis4 May 26 17:14 UTC31 Mar 28 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Indonesia primary aluminum production exceed 1 Mt as of October 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill China alumina production exceed 85 Mt as of October 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Indonesia's commissioned alumina refinery capacity exceed 15 Mt/yr on December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsIs most of Wout Van Aert's road cycling success still ahead of him as of October 2023?
Manifold MarketsXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketWorlds 2026 Winning Region
PolymarketKurallar
This market resolves YES if Guinea's bauxite exports for calendar year 2027 (January 1 - December 31, 2027) exceed 140 million tonnes.
- Settlement is March 31, 2028 — the close pushes ~3 months past year-end so that the December 2027 monthly customs print (which publishes with a ~2-month lag) is available before resolution.
- Guinea is the world's largest bauxite exporter, supplying roughly 60% of China's bauxite imports.
- Annual export volume has roughly doubled since 2017 with capacity expansions at Boké province operations (CBG, SMB, GAC) and the Boffa concessions.
- Crossing 140 Mt for calendar 2027 would require sustained ramp from the ~90 Mt 2023 baseline.
- Resolution sources (priority order):