Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 76.8%
Tahminciler
21
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
22 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis13 Oca 24 04:02 UTC13 Oca 30 07:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in any year before 2030, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2026, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Berkeley Earth releases a Global Temperature Report each January that includes the previous year's global annual average temperature according to their data.
- For 2023, Berkeley Earth reported global warming was 1.54 °C. This question resolves YES if Berkeley Earth reports that annual average warming is equal to or higher than 1.50 degrees Celsius in 2029.
- For easy reference, here are Berkeley Earth's past numbers going back to 2010:
- [image]Same question but for:
Açık piyasalar
Weather
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- 93° or above84.9%
- 91° to 92°10.4%
- 89° to 90°1.9%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺4,7 Mn
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Miami+44.0pt99%
- Chicago+14.0pt99%
- Houston+19.0pt73%
+19 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,7 Mn
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 9, 2026?
- 91° to 92°59.8%
- 89° to 90°21.6%
- 93° to 94°11.8%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,8 Mn
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 9, 2026?
- 83° or below47.2%
- 84° to 85°42.6%
- 86° to 87°7.4%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,7 Mn
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 10?
- 28°C+2.0pt48.6%
- 29°C+4.5pt26.7%
- 27°C-6.0pt17.1%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIHighest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 9, 2026?
- 92° or above72.1%
- 90° to 91°12.5%
- 88° to 89°8.7%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺934,5 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺933,6 B
- Highest temperature in London on September 10?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 10?
- Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 10?
- Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 10?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 10?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 10?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 10?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 77% fiyatlıyor.
- Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 13 Ocak 2030.
- Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Berkeley Earth releases a Global Temperature Report each January that includes the previous year's global annual average temperature according to their data.