Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 85.1%
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19
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli12 Nis 26 20:55 UTC7 Kas 28 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Eric Swalwell win the California general election for Governor in 2026?
ForecastExWill Eric Swalwell be elected the next Governor of California?
Manifold MarketsEric Adams charged by December 31?
PolymarketTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
PolymarketWill Trump issue a blanket pardon for administration staff?
KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is physically incarcerated in a jail, prison, or other correctional facility on Election Day (November 7) 2028.
- The market resolves to "No" if he is not incarcerated on that date.
- Resolution will be based on reliable reporting from major news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters, The New York Times, Wall Street Journal) confirming his custodial status on that day.
- If his status is unclear or if he is under house arrest, electronic monitoring, or probation without being held in a correctional facility, the market will resolve to "No.”