Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 85.1%
Tahminciler
19
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
12 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis12 Nis 26 20:55 UTC7 Kas 28 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Eric Swalwell win the California general election for Governor in 2026?
ForecastExEric Swalwell charged by September 30?
PolymarketWill Eric Swalwell be elected the next Governor of California?
Manifold MarketsEric Swalwell arrested by September 30?
PolymarketEric Adams charged by December 31?
PolymarketWill anyone face federal charges tied to Fulton County’s 2020 election?
KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is physically incarcerated in a jail, prison, or other correctional facility on Election Day (November 7) 2028.
- The market resolves to "No" if he is not incarcerated on that date.
- Resolution will be based on reliable reporting from major news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters, The New York Times, Wall Street Journal) confirming his custodial status on that day.
- If his status is unclear or if he is under house arrest, electronic monitoring, or probation without being held in a correctional facility, the market will resolve to "No.”
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
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+49 daha fazla sonuç
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+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
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+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt14.1%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
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- ₺10,3 Mr
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- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
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+38 daha fazla sonuç
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Eric Swalwell be behind bars on Election Day 2028? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 85% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Eric Swalwell be behind bars on Election Day 2028? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Eric Swalwell be behind bars on Election Day 2028? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 7 Kasım 2028.
- Will Eric Swalwell be behind bars on Election Day 2028? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria