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Gecikmeli7 Tem 23 10:03 UTC30 Haz 28 22:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Donald J. Trump win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWill Donald Trump have been the Republican nominee in every presidential election from 2016 until his death?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
Manifold Markets2028 Republican nominee?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump Jr. win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExNH-01 Republican nominee?
KalshiKurallar
Most other (manifold) markets have converged on a ~25% probability (as of July 7th 2023) of Donald Trump winning the 2024 United States presidential election.
- Given this, what is the likelihood that Donald Trump will seek and win the Republican nomination in 2028?
- This market will resolve YES if Donald Trump is the 2028 Republican presidential nominee.
- This market will resolve NO if Donald Trump is still alive and is not the 2028 nominee.
- If Donald Trump dies before the relevant date, this market will resolve N/A. I am open to arguments about changing the N/A criteria such that his death will make this market resolve NO.
Açık piyasalar
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺40,2 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt55%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.2pt43%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74.8%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21.2%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺23,1 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt48.3%
- October 31-1.0pt29.2%
- September 30-3.0pt11.7%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
- Next French Presidential Election
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee in 2028? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 93% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee in 2028? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee in 2028? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 30 Haziran 2028.
- Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee in 2028? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Most other (manifold) markets have converged on a ~25% probability (as of July 7th 2023) of Donald Trump winning the 2024 United States presidential election.