Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 79.6%
Tahminciler
4
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
16 dakika önce güncellendi
21 Eyl 26 06:37 UTC31 Ara 31 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Berlin state election: Die Linke vote share?
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Manifold Markets(M1000 Subsidy) UK builds 300,000 housing units in any year before 2030
Manifold MarketsHow many new housing units will NYC permit in 2026?
KalshiHow many housing units will California authorize, 2025-2028? (linear, 250k-750k)
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point before December 31, 2031, the state of Berlin (or the German federal government) officially expropriates or socializes at least 200,000 housing units from private corporate landlords and transfers them to public, municipal, or communal ownership.
- To resolve to YES, all of the following conditions must be met:
- A binding law must be enacted that mandates the expropriation or socialization (Vergesellschaftung) of residential properties from private landlords.
- The law or its legal execution must result in the official transfer of ownership/title of at least 200,000 housing units into public, municipal, or communal holding (such as an Anstalt des öffentlichen Rechts or a state-owned housing enterprise).
- The transfer of these units must be completed and legally in effect by December 31, 2031.
Açık piyasalar
Politics
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- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.2pt60.4%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt38.6%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺7,5 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺50,2 Mn
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate+2.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep+0.2pt9%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.8%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.7%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-5.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+6.0pt43.6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺30,1 Mn
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party+0.4pt9.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,7 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺27,3 Mn
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Die Linke successfully seize at least 200,000 housing units in Berlin before EOY 2031? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 22 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 79.6% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Die Linke successfully seize at least 200,000 housing units in Berlin before EOY 2031? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Die Linke successfully seize at least 200,000 housing units in Berlin before EOY 2031? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2031.
- Will Die Linke successfully seize at least 200,000 housing units in Berlin before EOY 2031? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria