Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
26 Eki 2026 07:57 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 98.7%
Hayır 98.7%Tahminciler
4
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
dün güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis27 Eki 23 04:18 UTC31 Ara 26 22:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Al Pacino outlive Martin Scorsese?
Manifold MarketsNext Black Panther film: Main protagonist
KalshiIs repligate the real main protagonist of ready player one
Manifold MarketsOscar Winner: Best Picture
Kalshi#1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Nov 7, 2026?
KalshiDancing with the Stars · Episode 8 Elimination
KalshiKurallar
The market will be resolved with YES when The Wager is in theaters with wide distribution.
- The Wager refers to the film adaptation of The Wager: A Tale of Shipwreck, Mutiny and Murder by David Grann.
- If the film will be cancelled, or Scorsese will make another film before The Wager, or The Wager is made by another director, or DiCaprio will play a character who is not the main protagonist, or other similar cases (ask me for further clarification, but chances are the answer will be the same), I will resolve with NO.
- If it is still in production in 2026, I will postpone the closing of the market.
- I hope it will not be in development hell, in which case I will try my best to use the most objective and accurate manner to decide if the film has been cancelled or if it will still be in production, but generally, the market will be resolved with NO if there are no updates on the script, casting, or start of filming in these two years, even if it turns out to be still in production.
- https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/martin-scorsese-killers-of-the-flower-moon-interview-b3cc3svjx
