Will Clint Eastwood, William Shatner, and Rita Moreno all be alive on Thanksgiving 2026?
One-OffHava Durumu28gManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 84.6%
Tahminciler
14
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
42 dakika önce güncellendi
12 Oca 26 01:05 UTC26 Kas 26 23:59 UTC
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Prop resolves Yes if all three are alive at any time EST on November 26, 2026.
- This is one of 25 props in the 11th annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
- https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2026-narcissist-forecasting-contest
- The prop and any ambiguities will be resolved by a panel of human judges, as described in the fine print of the entry form:
- https://forms.gle/nDDxdxyYSNheY9FV7
- This means that the prop may resolve differently from how other, similar-looking Manifold props resolve.