Will climate intervention (geoengineering) reduce global mean surface temperature by at least 0.1°C by 2030?
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Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 88.1%
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Resolution criteria:
- Resolves YES if I am 80% confident that this has occurred.
- Peer-reviewed studies making this claim will probably be necessary, but not necessarily sufficient.
- The intervention must be intentional (excludes coincidental effects of non-climate policies)
- The temperature reduction need not be expected to be repeated the following year, e.g., if the intervention was temporary.
- Learn more about climate interventions : https://climateinterventions.org/
