Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 66.3%
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Gecikmeli8 Nis 26 14:18 UTC31 Eki 26 04:00 UTC
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Will China August 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes?
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Manifold MarketsWill China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 20 tonnes?
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This market resolves YES if China August 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 20 tonnes.
- What is being measured: China monthly Sm2O3 export volume (GACC data) for the month ending August 2026, settled 2 months later to allow for GACC reporting lag.
- YES if: China Sm2O3 monthly export volume >= 20 tonnes for August 2026 NO if: Export volume below 20 tonnes
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- GACC (General Administration of Customs, China) monthly trade data — HS 2846.90
- Asian Metal — China rare earth export monthly tracker (asianmetal.com)