Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 94%
Tahminciler
5
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli10 Haz 26 05:06 UTC31 Ara 28 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?
KalshiWho will Bernie Sanders endorse for president in 2028 dem primary?
Manifold MarketsWill a US senator, other than Bernie Sanders, identify as a socialist before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWho will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms?
KalshiWill Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Bernie Sanders officially declares his candidacy for President of the United States in the 2028 election cycle on or before Election Day, November 7, 2028.
- An official run requires at least one of the following:
- Filing a Form 2 (Statement of Candidacy) with the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
- A formal, public announcement of his candidacy (e.g., via an official campaign launch video, press conference, or official press release).
- Forming an exploratory committee, being draft-campaigned by external organizations, or speculative media reporting will not suffice.
