Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027?
Latin AmericaOne-Off1yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 95.7%
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24 Oca 24 18:29 UTC1 Oca 28 04:59 UTC
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Milei's new administration has reiterated his desire to regain the Falklands as Argentine possessions (spanish announcement here).
- Given he's outright ruled out the use of force (as he correctly observed that didn't go well last time), he's announced he intends to explore "all diplomatic channels."
- This market resolves YES if the Falklands have returned to Argentine possession by the close date, or if an official agreement has been ratified between Britain and Argentina about transferring sovereignty of the islands to Argentina on some fixed timeline.
- This remains a YES even if there are some caveats to that sovereignty, so long as the international community recognizes the islands as being Argentine territory.
- I reserve the right to adjudicate edge cases of this sort by my own sole opinion.
- It resolves NO if the Falklands remain a British possession at market close, or if some other country has taken them over.
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 96% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2028.
- Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Milei's new administration has reiterated his desire to regain the Falklands as Argentine possessions (spanish announcement here).