Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 84.3%
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16
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Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
13 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis23 Ara 25 10:08 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the Green Party of England and Wales consistently poll >=20% in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich New Zealand political party leaders will be incumbent on the next Election Day?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk create a political party in the US by the end of 2026?
FutuurBy 2027, will a political party whose platform centers on AI rights get at least 1% of the vote in a national election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketKurallar
Consistently = enough that Politico's Poll of Polls UK (smooth view) shows any party polling at greater than or equal to 35%, for 14 days in a row, according to the day-by-day hover tool.
- Excepting any obvious data / charting errors on Politico's end.
- All 14 days must fall within 2025 I.e. the streak cannot start on Dec 31st 2025.
- Politico do take time to update their charts, so any 14 day period must remain in place for 14 days after it completes.
- If for any reason Politico's Poll of Polls ceases to function then the backup metric is Wikipedia's UK Polling chart.
Açık piyasalar
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.3%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.3%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺32,7 Mn
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.0pt44%
- Renan Santos+0.5pt2%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIRhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Helena Foulkes-0.9pt99%
- Dan McKee+0.7pt1%
- Gregory Stevens0%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺36,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)+0.4pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.1pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate44.3%
- D-House, R-Senate34.9%
- R-House, R-Senate+5.0pt18.9%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺582,6 Mn
- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will any UK political party consistently poll at 35% or higher in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 84% fiyatlıyor.
- Will any UK political party consistently poll at 35% or higher in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will any UK political party consistently poll at 35% or higher in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Will any UK political party consistently poll at 35% or higher in 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Consistently = enough that Politico's Poll of Polls UK (smooth view) shows any party polling at greater than or equal to 35%, for 14 days in a row, according to the day-by-day hover tool.