Will (any) Trump run against (any) Obama in the 2028 presidential election?
PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçim2y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 98.2%
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10
Soru türü
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
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24 dakika önce güncellendi
31 Mar 25 15:58 UTC5 Oca 29 23:59 UTC
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This market resolves based on whether the 2028 U.S. presidential election features a direct matchup between a member of the Trump family and a member of the Obama family, including as independent candidates, president or vice-president.
- For this market to resolve YES, one major party nominee must be from the Trump family (Donald, Don Jr., Ivanka, Eric, etc.) and the other major party nominee must be from the Obama family (Barack, Michelle, etc.).
- Other people with the same surnames do not count.
- If only one family has a nominee, or neither family has a nominee, the market resolves NO.
