Güncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 71.1%
Tahminciler
9
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
11 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis7 Nis 26 14:56 UTC31 Ara 27 05:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will any OEM be producing LLZO solid-state battery packs at commercial scale (≥1 GWh/year) by December 31, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Google release a Pixel phone that uses a solid-state battery by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla release a car using solid-state battery technology by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple release an iPhone that uses a solid-state battery by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic IPO before OpenAI?
Manifold MarketsWill Neutron Launch before Christmas?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market resolves YES if at least one automotive OEM or battery manufacturer is producing LLZO (Li7La3Zr2O12, lithium lanthanum zirconium oxide) solid-state battery packs at commercial scale — defined as an annualized production rate of at least 1 GWh/year at a single facility — by December 31, 2027.
- Toyota, Samsung SDI, or another OEM has confirmed commercial LLZO SSB production at a single facility with annualized capacity of at least 1 GWh/year
- Commercial vehicle deliveries with LLZO SSB packs are documented (not prototype/demo)
- Production announced for ≥1 GWh/year run rate and confirmed by independent reporting
- Only pilot or demonstration scale production exists (<1 GWh/year annualized)
- Sulfide-based SSBs (QuantumScape, Solid Power) are at commercial scale but not LLZO
