Will any non-astronaut be "commuting to the moon" before 2040?
KriptoOne-OffUzayİş Dünyası ve ŞirketlerTeknoloji13y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 78.5%
Tahminciler
26
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis17 Ağu 26 22:10 UTC31 Ara 39 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Elon Musk be worth more than 2 Trillion Dollars before 2027?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX pivots away from xAI
Manifold MarketsWhich Money & Macro megatrends for 2026 will be correct?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaxeX stock price reach $300 at any point before 2027?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketSpaceX’s Market Cap end of November 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
https://fortune.com/2026/08/17/billionaire-founder-predicts-live-work-space-bezos-musk-altman-2030-moon/
- This question will resolve Yes if any one non-astronaut works on Earth's moon for seven days or more before December 31st 2039.
- The exact form of labor is nonspecific, but they cannot be there for leisure.
- The person in question cannot be a public or private "astronaut" (or cosmonaut, etc.) as their primary profession, that is to say someone whose job is traversing outer space on specialized craft.
- Safety training, fitness tests, or other elements of space travel that would be insufficient for someone to be considered a professional astronaut are fine.
- The spirit of this market is concerned with "factory workers," "miners," or other jobs, however elevated by local advanced automated tools, involving a physical commute to the moon to do labor.
