Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 70.1%
Tahminciler
30
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
9 dakika önce güncellendi
8 Ağu 26 07:13 UTC1 Oca 28 05:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the US enter a recession in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWe're in an economically stagnant decade (2022-2032)
Manifold MarketsLeap: ECI record beaten by >= 9 points before 2028?
Manifold MarketsNext Prime Minister of Romania?
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiFIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner
KalshiKurallar
Codename: TAKEOFF
- Resolves YES if any AI model publicly released before January 1, 2028 receives an official general Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) score of 200 or higher.
- The model must be released before the deadline, but Epoch may score it afterward.
- The central general-ECI value in Epoch’s canonical score file controls—not confidence bounds or domain-specific scores.
- If Epoch changes its scale or stops publishing useful scores, MNX will use its published conversion or the closest credible reconstruction of the same threshold.
- Keep an eye on mnx.fi 👀
Açık piyasalar
SportsKALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Los Angeles R13.8%
- Buffalo+1.0pt7.3%
- Seattle-1.0pt5.7%
+29 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺189,9 Mn
KALSHIAmgen Irish Open Winner
- Rory McIlroy+1.0pt14%
- Jon Rahm-0.2pt8%
- Tyrrell Hatton-0.5pt5%
+97 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHISekulic vs Matsuda
- Philip Sekulic78%
- Koki Matsuda22%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺105,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺94,1 Mn
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Bayern Munich+1.0pt15.1%
- Arsenal-1.0pt13.2%
+33 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: Alliance vs TYLOO (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
- 1 Winner100%
- 2 Winner100%
- Match Winner100%
+21 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺59,5 Mn
POLYMARKET2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
- Alexander Zverev+13.2pt51%
- Ben Shelton+9.9pt36.7%
- Frances Tiafoe-0.2pt7.1%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- San Francisco vs Los Angeles R
- MVP Winner?
- Nflgame 26 SEP 09 Nesea
- MLB: Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers (Sep 9, 2026)
- Amgen Irish Open End of Round 1 Leader
- San Francisco vs Los Angeles: Spread
- NFL 2026-27: Champion
- Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
- Pro Baseball Champion
- US Open Women's Singles Winner
- Florida A&M vs Miami (FL)
Sık sorulan sorular
- Takeoff: ECI >= 200 before 2028? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 10 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 70% fiyatlıyor.
- Takeoff: ECI >= 200 before 2028? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Takeoff: ECI >= 200 before 2028? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2028.
- Takeoff: ECI >= 200 before 2028? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Codename: TAKEOFF