Veri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
26 Eki 2026 04:34 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 62.1%
Tahminciler
8
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
5 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis9 Şub 26 20:26 UTC31 Ara 28 05:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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Manifold MarketsWill China polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 1500 kt?
Manifold MarketsCopper price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
KalshiCopper price on October 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
KalshiKurallar
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if total annual copper cathode production from bio-leaching of primary sulfide ores exceeds 10,000 tonnes in calendar year 2028.
- Combined output from Nuton-enabled sites (JCM + any new deployments) plus any other commercial bio-leaching operations on primary sulfides totals >10 kt
- Production data published in operator annual reports, technical reports, or verified by independent commodity consultancies
- Total primary sulfide bio-leach production remains below 10 kt in CY2028
- Only pilot/test production (not commercial-scale) exceeds threshold
