Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
25 Eki 2026 20:05 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahminiHayır 80%
Tahminciler
18
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
3 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis19 Tem 26 08:33 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Andrew Tate be extradited by the end of the year?
Manifold MarketsAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
PolymarketWill Andrew Tate be found guilty of rape or human trafficking in the UK?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Andrew Tate be convicted of human trafficking?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Andrew Tate trial start? (regarding the human trafficking / organized crime charges)
Manifold MarketsWill Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?
KalshiKurallar
https://www.tmz.com/2026/07/18/andrew-tristan-tate-arrested-miami/
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, Andrew Tate is physically extradited or legally transferred under custody from the United States to either the United Kingdom or Romania.
- This market resolves to NO if he is not extradited or legally transferred to either country by the deadline (including if he remains in US custody, is released on bail in the US, or if extradition proceedings are still ongoing but not completed).
- Custody Transfer: For the purposes of this market, "extradited" requires a formal legal transfer of custody to UK or Romanian officials and physical transport to either nation.
- Voluntary self-travel or deportation to another country does not count.
