Will an optimal first move for white in chess be known by 2040? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 26 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla No için 77.8% fiyatlıyor.

Will an optimal first move for white in chess be known by 2040? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

Will an optimal first move for white in chess be known by 2040? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2040.

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6 Şub 23 19:12 UTC31 Ara 40 23:59 UTC

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This market resolves YES if, by 2040, there is a particular first move for white in a standard game of chess which we know to be optimal.

That is, we must have a proof that the outcome of the game with perfect play after that move is the same (Win, lose, or draw) for white as before the move.
Feb 6, 1:13pm: Will an optimal first move for white be known by 2040? → Will an optimal first move for white in chess be known by 2040?