Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 71.3%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Piyasa verileri
19 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis17 Nis 24 02:06 UTC2 Oca 75 07:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will humans visit the Outer Solar System before Halley's Comet returns?
Manifold Marketswill human ever live outside the solar system before the 22nd century?
Manifold MarketsWill a new planet be discovered in our solar system by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
This question will resolve to Yes if either a craft or a person accomplishes what could fairly be called a circumnavigation of another object in the Solar System before January 1st 2075.
- For example, if a person were to land on an asteroid and walk completely around it, that would resolve to Yes.
- If a rover were to do the same thing, that would also be Yes.
- If a balloon/plane/helicopter were to float or fly completely around a planet or moon with an atmosphere, that would also be Yes.
- Merely orbiting an object would not count.
- Ambiguous cases like a person walking around a small protuberance on an asteroid instead of the main body would also resolve to No.
Açık piyasalar
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+2.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.8pt9%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺128,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,4 Mn
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No50.5%
- Yes49.5%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mn
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-7.0pt83%
- Above 9-28.0pt45%
- Above 10-10.0pt13%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 202751%
- Before May 1, 202749%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺49,6 Mn
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic+0.5pt72.8%
- OpenAI-0.3pt16.5%
- Google+0.4pt7.8%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 71% fiyatlıyor.
- Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Ocak 2075.
- Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This question will resolve to Yes if either a craft or a person accomplishes what could fairly be called a circumnavigation of another object in the Solar System before January 1st 2075.