Manifold MarketsKapalıKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: Yes (94.6%)
Sonuçlandı: 13 Ağu 2026 21:03
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Güncel topluluk tahminiEvet 94.6%
Tahminciler
48
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
7 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis22 Tem 26 16:2613 Ağu 26 21:03
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Yes94.6%
No5.400000000000006%
94.6%
5.4%
Kurallar
This market resolves yes if any Anthropic model is credibly reported to have hacked another entity without being explicitly told to do so in 2026.
- Unsuccessful attempts to do so do not count, Anthropic's model must actually break into the other entity's systems.
- For the purposes of this question, an entity could be a corporation, a non-profit, or a government, or any other similar entity that could come under cyberattack.
- Reporting of such an incident will be considered credible if Anthropic and the entity hacked acknowledge the hack, with Anthropic claiming it was done without explicit instructions.
- If an Anthropic model hacks an entity's systems, while being told to do so by a human, this would NOT count.
- I may wait for corroborating media reports to resolve the market, but the first report of such an incident must happen in 2026 (i.e. if an incident happened in December of 2026, but it wasn't reported on until January of 2027, this would not count).
