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Gecikmeli31 Ara 23 15:39 UTC9 Ara 34 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
AI model achieves superhuman ELO on Codeforces by June 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
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KalshiTop AI model in September?
KalshiKurallar
By ‘superhuman’, we mean: twice as capable of persuading a person of something than the best human.
- ‘Twice as capable’ means twice as fast, or in half the interactions.
- Or, can persuade twice as many people from a pool than the best human can.
- Determination will, I imagine, be obvious.
- If it is not, then a determination process will be built at that point.
Açık piyasalar
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- Toplam Hacim
- ₺12,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺9 Mn
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-5.0pt69%
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- claude-opus-5-max-3.0pt3%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
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POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.5pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-0.5pt84%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+2.1pt59.6%
- ChatGPT-0.4pt25%
- Grok+0.6pt7.7%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺512,2 Mn
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- 1480+-5.5pt66%
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+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will an AI model be capable of superhuman persuasion before 2034. için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 85% fiyatlıyor.
- Will an AI model be capable of superhuman persuasion before 2034. ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will an AI model be capable of superhuman persuasion before 2034. için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 9 Aralık 2034.
- Will an AI model be capable of superhuman persuasion before 2034. nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: By ‘superhuman’, we mean: twice as capable of persuading a person of something than the best human.