Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan?
PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçim2026 ABD Ara Seçimleri10g
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 73.5%
Tahminciler
16
Soru türü
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
8 dakika önce güncellendi
10 Ağu 26 10:21 UTC3 Kas 26 23:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Abdul El-Sayed is officially certified as the winner of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan.
- The market will resolve to NO if any other candidate (such as Republican nominee Mike Rogers or any third-party/write-in candidate) is certified as the winner, or if the election is won by anyone other than Abdul El-Sayed.
- Source of Truth:
- Resolution will be based on official results published by the Michigan Bureau of Elections / Secretary of State.
- If official certification is delayed, the market may resolve based on a consensus projection from major decision desks (e.g., Associated Press, Decision Desk HQ, major networks), provided there are no active recounts or legal challenges that could plausibly alter the certified outcome.