Manifold MarketsKapalıKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: No (97.8%)
Sonuçlandı: 13 Eki 2026 13:12
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
13 Eki 2026 12:32 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Yes2.2%
No97.8%
Kazandı
Kaybetti
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
October 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?
PolymarketWill Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a US senator, other than Bernie Sanders, identify as a socialist before 2030?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
Polymarket2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if any currently serving United States Senator dies between the creation of this market and October 1, 2026, at 11:59 PM Eastern Time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- Currently serving U.S. Senator: An individual who is an active, sworn member of the United States Senate at the time of their death.
- Former senators, senators-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and members of the House of Representatives do not qualify.
- Timing of death: The death must be officially confirmed to have occurred before October 1, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.