Veri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
25 Eki 2026 19:45 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 69.9%
Tahminciler
21
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis9 Şub 25 03:25 UTC15 Ağu 29 22:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Nigel Farage be alive for the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
PolymarketWill Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?
Manifold MarketsNigel Farage becomes UK Prime Minister before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Nigel Farage become leader of the Conservative Party by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiKurallar
Market background
- Nigel Farage is currently associated with Reform UK, a right-wing political party that has seen increasing popularity in recent polls.
- In February 2025, Reform UK became the most popular party in Britain according to YouGov polling data.
- The party secured over four million votes and won five seats in the 2024 UK General Election, marking one of its strongest parliamentary performances to date.
- This market exists to cover any theorised eventualities in which Farage leaves Reform UK, and joins or starts another party which then goes on to win.
- My previous market, Will Reform UK win the next UK election, does not track Farage himeself, rather the party.