Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 59.4%
Tahminciler
25
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
10 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis16 Ara 23 19:15 UTC1 Oca 31 05:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Kurallar
I will resolve YES if a novel computing medium (analog, optical, quantum, ect.) computer component enters market and is available and received by consumers by December 31, 2030.
- A novel computing medium shall be defined as any computing machine not utilizing silicone (or other semiconductor) based transistors.
- The consumer device can be either a component (GPU, Accelerator Card, ect.), or a standalone device (Mobile Phone, Wearable, ect.), but must be purchasable for $2000, 2023 purchasing power.
- Additionally Resolves YES, if any of the below markets resolve YES.
- https://manifold.markets/henryw/will-the-first-optical-computer-be?r=THVjYXNUaGVsZW4
- https://manifold.markets/AidenPetersen/will-we-see-analog-accelerators-in
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will a novel computing medium enter consumer electronics by EYO 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 23 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 59.4% fiyatlıyor.
- Will a novel computing medium enter consumer electronics by EYO 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will a novel computing medium enter consumer electronics by EYO 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2031.
- Will a novel computing medium enter consumer electronics by EYO 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: I will resolve YES if a novel computing medium (analog, optical, quantum, ect.) computer component enters market and is available and received by consumers by December 31, 2030.