Will a human walk on Mars before we get a cure for cancer? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 27 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 68.2% fiyatlıyor.

Will a human walk on Mars before we get a cure for cancer? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

Will a human walk on Mars before we get a cure for cancer? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Mart 2100.

Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves as YES if a human ventures onto the surface of Mars before we get a cure for cancer.

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Güncel topluluk tahmini

Evet 68.2%

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33 dakika önce güncellendi

3 Şub 24 19:29 UTC1 Mar 00 22:59 UTC

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Resolves as YES if a human ventures onto the surface of Mars before we get a cure for cancer.

In the context of this question the threshold for "we get a cure for cancer" is defined as: 95% of individuals diagnosed with cancer are alive and cancer-free (complete remission) 18 months after initial diagnosis, in a least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.
Numeric markets:
@/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-a-cure-for-canc
Human venture on Mars questions:
@/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-mars-before-20-b78c73592440