Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiAdam Hamilton (d) 57.9%+7.9pt3 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
5
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+24.6 pts
Piyasa verileri
12 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis29 Eki 26 00:06 UTC1 Oca 27 02:59 UTC
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PolymarketKurallar
Polls indicate a possible upset, but if we’ve learned anything in the last two elections… polls are often wrong.
- Kansas hadn’t elected a Democrat senator since 1932.
- If the election is clearly called by at least 2 major news organizations the question will settle.
- If the result is in doubt it will resolve by the end of the year when it does get called or, if needed with a best estimate based on Kalshi odds