Who will win the 2028 Way-Too-Early Democratic Primary Draft on Silver Bulletin?
PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçim1y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
22 Eki 2026 22:28 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahminiTeam Nate (Shapiro, Booker, Gavin…) 54%
Tahminciler
13
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli17 Nis 25 04:50 UTC30 Haz 28 22:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
Galen Druke and Nate Silver did a draft on Silver Bulletin!
- The scoring system is a bit complicated (it’s not just based on who wins the nomination) but everything should be clear from this image:
- [image]I will probably defer to Nate and Galen when they announce the victor.
- Otherwise, I might have to calculate it myself :(
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
