Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Samuel Alito 60%10 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
40
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
15 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis6 Kas 22 22:23 UTC1 Oca 31 04:59 UTC
Trendler
0.2%
0.1%
0%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Which SCOTUS justice will be the first to leave the bench?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?
PolymarketWho will be the last standing SCOTUS justice?
Manifold MarketsNext Justice to leave the US Supreme Court
FutuurAny Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
PolymarketKurallar
If it's multiple justices simultaneously, this market will resolve to an per-person split of all correct answers (eg: if there were 11 Justices and all 11 left, it would resolve with each current member AND 2 shares on the named outcome
Açık piyasalar
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.5pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39,3 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M-0.8pt96%
- $25M-1.0pt94%
- $50M-4.0pt87%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.4pt47.8%
- October 31-1.0pt29.6%
- September 30-4.0pt12.2%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84%
- Republican Party-1.0pt16%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺16,1 Mn
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.5%
- Marco Rubio20.8%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt4%
+35 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺15,1 Mn
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- New Hampshire Republican Senate nominee?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- IA-01 House winner?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Samuel Alito için 60% fiyatlıyor.
- Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2031.
- Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If it's multiple justices simultaneously, this market will resolve to an per-person split of all correct answers (eg: if there were 11 Justices and all 11 left, it would resolve with each current member AND 2 shares on the named outcome