Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Samuel Alito 58.8%10 seçenek arasında lider
Samuel Alito 58.8%Tahminciler
40
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
-1.2 pts
Piyasa verileri
23 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis6 Kas 22 22:23 UTC1 Oca 31 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
If Democrats win the Senate in 2026, will a Supreme Court justice leave the Court before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsIf Republicans keep the Senate in 2026, will a Supreme Court justice leave the Court before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhich SCOTUS justice will be the first to leave the bench?
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Manifold MarketsWho will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?
PolymarketNext Justice to leave the US Supreme Court
FutuurKurallar
If it's multiple justices simultaneously, this market will resolve to an per-person split of all correct answers (eg: if there were 11 Justices and all 11 left, it would resolve with each current member AND 2 shares on the named outcome
