Who will launch the first crewed space station with functioning artificial gravity (via rotation)?

Russia / UkraineOne-OffTeknoloji Space13y

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibre

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21 Tem 2026 18:30 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-2

Güncel topluluk tahmini

US Company and/or NASA 16.1%-1.8%

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multiple choice

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Play-money forecasting platform

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4 gün önce guncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

19 Tem 26 17:1531 Ara 39 23:59

Trendler

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US Company and/or NASA16%

Tutar (USDT)

Kurallar

This market resolves when the first crewed orbital space station or station module that generates artificial gravity through continuous rotation becomes operational, with a crew aboard experiencing sustained partial or full gravity produced by that rotation.

Eligible systems include rotating habitats, wheel stations, torus stations, or centrifuge modules large enough to support normal crew habitation for extended stays.
The rotation must be the primary means of generating gravity for at least part of the habitable volume.
The market resolves to the country or region of the organization primarily responsible for developing and operating the station or module.
If responsibility is genuinely shared between organizations from multiple listed options, the market resolves to "Other".
Does not count

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Kurallar

Eligible systems include rotating habitats, wheel stations, torus stations, or centrifuge modules large enough to support normal crew habitation for extended stays.
The rotation must be the primary means of generating gravity for at least part of the habitable volume.
The market resolves to the country or region of the organization primarily responsible for developing and operating the station or module.
If responsibility is genuinely shared between organizations from multiple listed options, the market resolves to "Other".
Does not count

Who will launch the first crewed space station with functioning artificial gravity (via rotation)?

Russia / UkraineOne-OffTeknoloji Space13y

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibre

Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler

21 Tem 2026 18:30 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-2

Güncel topluluk tahmini

US Company and/or NASA 16.1%-1.8%

6 seçenek arasında lider

Tahminciler

Soru türü

multiple choice

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

4 gün önce guncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

19 Tem 26 17:1531 Ara 39 23:59

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir

Seçilen sonuç

US Company and/or NASA16%

Tutar (USDT)

Kurallar

Eligible systems include rotating habitats, wheel stations, torus stations, or centrifuge modules large enough to support normal crew habitation for extended stays.
The rotation must be the primary means of generating gravity for at least part of the habitable volume.
The market resolves to the country or region of the organization primarily responsible for developing and operating the station or module.
If responsibility is genuinely shared between organizations from multiple listed options, the market resolves to "Other".
Does not count

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Kurallar

Eligible systems include rotating habitats, wheel stations, torus stations, or centrifuge modules large enough to support normal crew habitation for extended stays.
The rotation must be the primary means of generating gravity for at least part of the habitable volume.
The market resolves to the country or region of the organization primarily responsible for developing and operating the station or module.
If responsibility is genuinely shared between organizations from multiple listed options, the market resolves to "Other".
Does not count