Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiGavin Newsom 71.6%19 seçenek arasında lider
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19
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis12 Ara 25 22:34 UTC31 Ara 28 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES for any candidate who finishes in the top 2 (first or second place) in any single state's Democratic primary election.(by popular vote, not delegates) The 2028 presidential election is scheduled for November 7, 2028, with primaries occurring in the months prior.
- Resolution will be determined by official state primary results published by state election authorities and major news outlets covering the 2028 Democratic primary.
- Note: Democrats have no clear presidential primary calendar for 2028, so the specific states and timing remain to be determined by the DNC.
- Must be a STATE!
- Democrats Abroad,American Samoa, Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, US Virgin Islands,