Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
JD Vance 46.6%15 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
46
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+11.2 pts
Piyasa verileri
7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis16 Şub 24 03:00 UTC12 Kas 28 07:59 UTC
Trendler
0.4%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Donald Trump remain de facto leader of the United States beyond the end of his second term?
Manifold MarketsUnder 55! U.S. Dem. Presidential nominee will not have reached age 55 by the time they win the nomination in 2028.
Manifold MarketsUnder 55! U.S. Rep. Presidential nominee will not have reached age 55 by the time they win the nomination in 2028.
Manifold MarketsWill Donald J. Trump win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWill Donald Trump Jr. win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExDE-AL Republican nominee?
KalshiKurallar
This market resolves to the next Republican Party Nominee who is not Donald trump, in whatever year that happens.
- This means that if Trump steps aside or dies before the 2024 election, this market resolves to whoever replaces him.
- But if Trump is not replaced, then this market remains open until there is a nominee in a future election cycle who is not Donald Trump.
- If you have any suggestions for other potential candidates to add, please leave a comment below.
Açık piyasalar
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39 Mn
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.7pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.0pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt14.1%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Who will be the next Republican Nominee who is not Donald Trump, in 2024 or beyond? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla JD Vance için 47% fiyatlıyor.
- Who will be the next Republican Nominee who is not Donald Trump, in 2024 or beyond? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Who will be the next Republican Nominee who is not Donald Trump, in 2024 or beyond? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 12 Kasım 2028.
- Who will be the next Republican Nominee who is not Donald Trump, in 2024 or beyond? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market resolves to the next Republican Party Nominee who is not Donald trump, in whatever year that happens.