Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiStephen 85.3%3 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
28
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis25 Kas 23 06:05 UTC2 Oca 30 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will any Manifold founder or FTE be on Lex Fridman podcast by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWhen will any company achieve AGI?
KalshiDelivery app downloads array index in October 2026
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketOpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
It seems likely that the founders will eventually stop working for Manifold.
- Either the platform does well and some of them sell out, or it does poorly and some of them quit.
- Either way, unless multiple leave simultaneously, there will be one who's last.
- This market resolves to that person.
- (Or a tie, if more than one leaves simultaneously.)
- Specifically, this means them ceasing to be an owner and/or employee of the company.