Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiOther 57.2%+0.3pt4 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
32
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+0.3 pts
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce guncellendi
Gecikmeli2 Eyl 25 22:375 Kas 28 23:59
Trendler
Kurallar
Do we really need another market for this topic? Maybe! Multiple choice questions with lots of answers are awkward; this one will aim to have few answers rather than being all-inclusive.
- These seem to be the major other markets for this question:
- @/Tetraspace/who-will-be-elected-president-in-20
- @/goldenes56/who-will-be-elected-president-in-th-6ecda2cc8128@/ManifoldPolitics/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-a84qq6ejnj
- @/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a
- If any option (including other) is trading in the top 3, or >20%, in either of those markets for at least 48 hours, I'll add it to this one (please feel encouraged to point out if this is happening!).
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Manifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut — Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election? · JD Vance 19%
- Robinhood (Rothera) üzerinde de mevcut — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 22%
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 23%
- Limitless üzerinde de mevcut — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 20%
- Smarkets üzerinde de mevcut — 2028 Presidential Election Winner · JD Vance 18%
- Futuur üzerinde de mevcut — US Presidential Election Winner in 2028 · Gavin Newsom 28%
- PredictIt üzerinde de mevcut — Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? · JD Vance 22%
- Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut — 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? · J.D. Vance 19%
Açık piyasalar
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18.8%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt12.9%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺9,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺114,8 Mn
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-1.0pt58.7%
- Ralph Norman33%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺784,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺525,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺53,2 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.0pt76%
- October 31+7.5pt60%
- September 30+5.0pt41%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva61.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt34.3%
- Renan Santos-0.6pt2.9%
+15 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party85.9%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.1%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺26,3 Mn
- Next French Presidential Election
- South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Ohio Governor winner?
- Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Sık sorulan sorular
- Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices) için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 25 Ağustos 2026 itibarıyla Other için 57% fiyatlıyor.
- Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices) ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices) için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 5 Kasım 2028.
- Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices) nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Do we really need another market for this topic? Maybe! Multiple choice questions with lots of answers are awkward; this one will aim to have few answers rather than being all-inclusive.
- Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices) başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Manifold Markets, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur, PredictIt, Kalshi.