Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiMagdalena Andersson (S) 72%4 seçenek arasında lider
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14
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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12 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis23 Eyl 25 07:11 UTC30 Oca 27 23:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Ulf Kristersson remain Swedish Prime Minister throughout the 2022-2026 term (until the next general election)?
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Manifold MarketsNew Zealand Prime Minister after the election?
KalshiWho will be Latvia’s Prime Minister after the election?
KalshiKurallar
Requires a successful investiture vote.
- Fresh elections without a successful investiture resolves N/A. If the government collapses soon after forming and another person becomes PM, it’s still the first to successfully become PM post-election that counts.
- Elections are in September 2026.
- Resolution is expected within about a month, or at least within the year, but can potentially drag on.
- For example, government formation after the 2018 elections took a record 134 days.
