Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
11 Tem 2026 22:22 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Güncel topluluk tahminiDemocrats 64.5%-5.5pt
Tahminciler
19
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
15 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis5 Şub 26 4:583 Kas 26 23:59
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Democrats65%
Platformları karşılaştır· Democrats
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manifold MarketsBu sayfa | — | 65% | — | — | — | 15 gün önce | |
 PredictIt%80 eşleşme · doğrulandı | — | 60% | — | — | — | 12 dakika önce | Aç → |
PredictIt üzerinde de mevcut
Which party will win the 2026 election for governor of Iowa?
10ay
60%
39%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITKurallar
Resolves to the winner.
- Resolves on media reporting and official results.
- Trump won the state by 13.2% in 2024.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Hacim trendi
$179 Tem3g veri11 Tem
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Resolves to the winner.
- Resolves on media reporting and official results.
- Trump won the state by 13.2% in 2024.