Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Louisiana's 3rd District?
PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçim2026 ABD Ara Seçimleri1ay
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiRepublican Party 96%3 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
2
Soru türü
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
-0.9 pts
Piyasa verileri
2 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis6 Eki 26 07:25 UTC13 Ara 26 12:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market resolves to the party of the winner of the 2026 election for U.S. Representative for Louisiana's 3rd congressional district — the term beginning January 3, 2027.
- Which round counts: the November 3, 2026 open U.S. Representative primary if a candidate wins a majority of the votes; otherwise the December 12, 2026 open general election between the top two, whatever their parties (Act 7 of 2026; Louisiana SOS calendar).
- Primaries do not count.
- Party rule: the winner's party is the party on whose line or with whose party designation they appear on the official general-election ballot.
- A candidate nominated by the named outcome or the named outcome who also appears on other parties' lines (fusion) counts as that party's candidate.
- Candidates who are independent, have no party preference, or belong to any other party resolve to "the named outcome", even if they say they would caucus with a major party.
