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25 Eki 2026 15:27 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahmini
SpaceX 78.6%4 seçenek arasında lider
SpaceX 78.6%Tahminciler
6
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multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
6 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis11 May 24 17:01 UTC1 Oca 00 12:59 UTC
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Kurallar
If there is a joint effort between two organisations (eg spaceX and NASA) I'll resolve to the one that paid for the trip.
- For example a spaceX rocket landing on the moon, paid for by the Artemis program, would resolve to NASA (if this market were about the moon.
- If an organisation sells tickets, it's the organisation paying for the trip and not the people/organisation buying the tickets.
- If they share the cost I'll resolve to the share of the cost the organisations pay.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Daniel_MC/will-an-optimus-robot-walk-on-mars)
