Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiThe Super Mario Galaxy Movie 100%11 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
49
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
11 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis14 Oca 26 16:16 UTC30 Oca 27 23:59 UTC
Trendler
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Which 2026 movies will make it into the IMDb Top 250?
PolymarketWill Grand Theft Auto 6 make more than $1.2 billion within 24 hours of it's release?
Manifold MarketsWill Twitter lose more than a billion dollars on labor law-related lawsuits from Musk's Twitter tenure, before 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Supergirl movie make over 600 million dollars worldwide?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketNext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES for any movie that reaches a worldwide box office gross of $1 billion USD or higher and was released by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined using verified box office data from Box Office Mojo or similar authoritative sources.
- Each answer resolves independently—multiple movies can resolve YES if they each cross the $1 billion threshold.
- If any movie is still in theaters in 2027 and hits the 1 billion mark next year, but was released in 2026, it still resolves YES.
- In 2025, only four movies surpassed $1 billion: "Zootopia 2," "Avatar: Fire and Ash," "Lilo & Stitch," and China's "Ne Zha 2.”
Açık piyasalar
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+37.0pt73.3%
- 940 - 950m-38.0pt23.8%
- <940m-0.2pt1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺17,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,6 Mn
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+32.0pt63%
- Jack Barton-3.0pt18%
- Callum Turner-13.0pt14%
+27 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺100,8 Mn
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+33.8pt50.5%
- No Bond chosen-7.6pt15.2%
- Jack Barton-0.8pt11.4%
+21 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell-1.0pt12.5%
+14 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺226,2 Mn
POLYMARKETKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- No-14.0pt68.3%
- Yes+14.0pt31.7%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺17,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,7 Mn
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 50+1.0pt99%
- Above 55+1.0pt99%
- Above 4599%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series
- Post Malone: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Morgan Wallen: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
Sık sorulan sorular
- Which movies will make a billion dollars worldwide in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla The Super Mario Galaxy Movie için 100% fiyatlıyor.
- Which movies will make a billion dollars worldwide in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Which movies will make a billion dollars worldwide in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 30 Ocak 2027.
- Which movies will make a billion dollars worldwide in 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria