Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiJoe Biden 51.8%6 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
29
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
12 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis15 Kas 25 19:10 UTC31 Ara 29 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will any current or former US president go to space before 2030?
Manifold MarketsAny US president (current or former) is assassinated before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a sitting or former US President be killed by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill any current or former president of the United States be assassinated before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the next elected US president be a woman?
PolymarketWill Gavin Newsom win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to whichever of the five living presidents dies first.
- Resolution will be determined by the date of death as reported by major news outlets (AP, Reuters, BBC, NPR, etc.).
- The market resolves to "Other" if none of the five specified presidents dies before the market creator closes it or if the market is otherwise abandoned.
- If a new president is inaugurated before the death of the aforementioned 5, they'll be added to the list.
- Though I wouldn't expect it, future presidents will also be added after a 6th living one.
