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20 Eki 2026 13:06 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahminiTina Kotek - Oregon Governor 91.9%9 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
13
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
-1.1 pts
Piyasa verileri
7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis30 Eyl 26 05:31 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?
KalshiWhich Dems will underperform Kamala?
PolymarketWill Talarico underperform 2024 Kamala in any county?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Kamala Harris announce her presidential candidacy?
KalshiWill Kamala Harris be elected governor of California in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2028 Democratic candidate lose any state Kamala Harris won?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolves Yes if the listed candidate certified vote share in the 2026 general election is lower than Kamala Harris's certified 2024 presidential vote share in their state.Outcome verified from Federal Election Commission, Maine Secretary of State, Oregon Secretary of Stateand other secretaries of states in the listed states.
- A candidate's 2026 vote share is their share of all votes cast in the November 3, 2026 general election for the listed office, as certified by that state's official election authority, including votes received on every ballot line on which the candidate appears.
- Where a race uses ranked-choice tabulation or a runoff, the first-round (first-choice) share is used.
- Kamala Harris's 2024 vote share is her share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote, including every ballot line on which she appeared, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results.
- Shares are compared unrounded.